Milan Singh

writer and pollster

I'm a fellow at The Argument, where I write about polling and politics. You can subscribe here. I'm also a senior at Yale studying economics, with a focus on applied econometrics and industrial organization. My thesis was on the impact of tariffs on U.S. manufacturing employment from 2018–2024.

I founded the Yale Youth Poll. You can check it out here. I've previously worked at Slow Boring, the Niskanen Center, Blueprint Research, and WelcomePAC.

I grew up in Cambridge, Massachusetts and I live in Washington, DC. You can reach me at milansingh03@gmail.com or on Twitter at @milansingh03.

Milan Singh on the Brooklyn Bridge

Selected writing

On polling and elections:

On economics and markets:

On higher education:

On gambling:

Research

ThesisMarch 2026
The Price of Protectionism: Effects of Tariffs on U.S. Manufacturing Employment, Industrial Production, and Producer Prices, 2018–2024

Extends Flaaen & Pierce (2024) using applied tariff rates on a panel through 2024. Import tariffs reduce manufacturing employment by approximately 274,000 jobs and raise producer prices; effects on industrial production are not significant.

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PaperDecember 2025
Taxation Without Information?

A survey experiment with 4,100 registered voters testing whether basic information about the federal budget changes preferences for taxation, spending, and deficit reduction. Finds modest, heterogeneous effects concentrated on spending rather than tax preferences.

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PaperOctober 2025
The Zohran Effect: What Moves Prediction Markets?

Analyzes the factors driving Polymarket odds in the 2025 New York City mayoral race. Early voting turnout data dominated polling and fundraising as a predictor of market movements.

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White paper for the Niskanen CenterOctober 2024
How AI Could Make UI Fraud Easier
With Matt Darling

Examines how large language models lower the cost and scale of unemployment insurance fraud, and what policy responses can address the emerging risk.

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Contact

You can reach me at milansingh03@gmail.com or on Twitter at @milansingh03.